As ECCA2019 is approaching, find below a list of all the talks and sessions dealing with COACCH results and outputs. The full ECCA2019 Programme can be downloaded here.

 

SESSIONS

  1. Name: Paul Watkiss (PWA) – Chair of session

Session: Climate change and the economy: from assessing to better planning for the future

Time/Date: Tuesday 28 May 14.00

Description: Report on assessments carried out to understand the impacts and risks that climate change may pose to a varied set of natural systems, business and economic sectors, as well as the development of tools that can support better planning for the future.

 

  1. Name: Shouro Dasgupta – Chair of session

Session: Economic evaluation for risk management and decision support

Time/Date: Tuesday 28 May 16.15

Description: Showcase of multiple examples of modelling and other methodological approaches to valuing economic aspects of climate risk and adaptation action, and their application, testing and analysis in prioritising climate adaptation and risk reduction measures in different vulnerable sectors.

 

  1. Name: Elisa Sainz De Murieta (BC3) – organizer & speaker

Session: New developments in risk governance: exploring risk attitudes and preferences for climate adaptation

Time/Date: Wednesday 29 May 16:15

Title: Involving stakeholders in decision-making about risk: a case for sea-level rise

Description of session: Stakeholders are increasingly demanding science to provide actionable, solution-oriented insights that can inform climate adaptation policies. In this context, there is arising interest in using risk-based approaches, including appropriate methods and metrics, to support adaptation decision-making. Risk management is a well-established discipline, which is familiar not only to decision-makers but also to many stakeholders, financial entities and private companies, and it has been previously applied to deal with current natural hazards. Risk-based methodologies enable dealing with uncertainty and defining robust measures that perform well under a wide variety of scenarios, which is very relevant to build flexibility in a dynamic climate change setting.

Description of paper: In this study authors develop an elicitation approach to engage with city stakeholders to define acceptable risk levels (ARLs), using risk measures as a main input. They present an innovative risk-based approach in which we assess the combined effect of sea-level rise and coastal extremes in 600 cities in Europe accounting for extreme events at the high-risk tail of the probability distribution of damages, under three climate change scenarios (RCP2.6, 4.5 and 8.5).

 

PRESENTATIONS

  1. Name: Paul Watkiss (PWA)

Session: Tipping points in a 2ºC world: risks and adaptation options

Time/Date: Tuesday 28 May 11:15

Title: Socio-economic Tipping Points

Description: This presentation will report on the activities being undertaken under the EU-funded project COACCH, on the economics of climate tipping points, and to introduce the concept of socio-economic tipping points.

 

  1. Name: Shouro Dasgupta

Session (chaired by Paul Watkiss): Climate change and the economy: from assessing to better planning for the future

Time/Date: 14:00 Tuesday 28 May

Title: Distribution of Global Temperature Effects on Downscaled Economic Activity

Description: In this paper, we use the high-resolution gridded economic activity data at 0.5° to revisit the relationship between climatic exposure and economic performance to investigate the potential distribution of future climate impacts across space. While studies have utilized population-weighted climatic data to analyze the impacts of climate change at the country-level, aggregation biases remain. The high-resolution data reduces the averaging effect, where negative and positive performances compensate each other. We also use spatial econometric techniques to control for the spatial dependence across grid-cells.

 

  1. Names: Jenny Tröltzsch (ECOLOGIC); Katriona McGlade (ECOLOGIC); Paul Watkiss (PWA)

Session: Co-production to enhance knowledge on economic impacts and the value of climate services

Time/Date: Wednesday 29 May 11:15

Title: Economic costs of climate change and adaptation in Europe: Synthesis results from the COACCH project

Description: In the coming years and decades, Europe will experience increasing climate change impacts. These include gradual changes – such as increasing mean temperature and changing precipitation patterns – as well as extreme events – such as flooding, storm surges, flash floods, heatwaves and droughts. Furthermore, climate and socio-economic changes, may trigger irreversible tipping points. All of these effects have the potential to produce increased economic costs. These costs of inaction are a key input for policy decision processes, including adaptation.

 

  1. Names: Jenny Tröltzsch (ECOLOGIC); Katriona McGlade (ECOLOGIC); Paul Watkiss (PWA)

Session: Economic impacts of climate change and climate change adaptation

Time/Date: Wednesday 29 May 14:00

Title: Implementing co-design in the COACCH project

Description: The CO-designing the Assessment of Climate CHange costs (COACCH) project is producing improved downscaled estimates of the costs of climate change in Europe. COACCH is using an innovative co-production process to deliver this research, with the aim of generating more useable knowledge for decision makers. Since January 2018, the team has worked to break down communication barriers and open up the research process to practitioners from the public sector, industry, business, researchers and civil society. These research ‘end-users’ have been turned into ‘designers’ and ‘producers’ of research. This presentation reports on this process, detailing the methods used and the emerging results and lessons.

 

  1. Name: Max Tesselaar

Session (organized by Elisa Sainz De Murieta): New developments in risk governance: exploring risk attitudes and preferences for climate adaptation

Time/date: Wednesday 29 May 16:15

Title: Efficient and Equitable Flood Insurance Arrangements for Future Flood Risk under Climate Change

Description: The expected rise in flood risk in Europe can become an increasing financial burden for households. Flood insurance can reduce this burden by pooling risk, as well as by providing incentives for risk reduction, which reduces flood risk and therefore the insurance premium. Several types of flood insurance are available, where there is a trade-off between equity and efficiency. For example, risk-based insurance premiums can provide incentives for mitigating flood risk, but can also cause unaffordability of insurance in high-risk areas. This presentation will discuss optimal strategies for flood insurance in Europe in the face of increasing flood risk. Results from the “Dynamic Integrated Flood Insurance” (DIFI) model will be presented in support of this debate.

 

  1. Name: Kees Van Ginkel

Session (organized by Elisa Sainz De Murieta): New developments in risk governance: exploring risk attitudes and preferences for climate adaptation

Time/Date: Wednesday 29 May 16:15

Title: The role of stakeholder risk perceptions in identifying climate-induced socio-economic tipping points

Description: Gradual changes in climatic conditions may have disproportionally large effects on socio-economic systems, causing them to function fundamentally different. We refer to those changes as climate-induced socio-economic tipping points (SETPs). In the Horizon-2020 project COACCH, stakeholder consultation was used to draw an inventory of SETPs with policy relevance for Europe. Example SETPs are drought-induced migration towards Europe, financial collapse of low-lying ski resorts, alterations in flood insurance systems (see Tesselaar et al. in this session) and reconfigurations of agricultural systems. In this presentation, we discuss the characteristics of these SETPs; in particular the role of stakeholder perceptions and associated risk tolerance in defining SETPs. We show that stakeholder risk perceptions are decisive for the identification and impact analysis of SETPs, in particular in defining acceptability thresholds. Based on our findings, we give directions for further research on policy relevant climate-induced socio-economic tipping points in Europe.